UEFA Tips : Arsenal vs Besiktas

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Date: 28 August 2014
League: UEFA Champions League
Team: Arsenal vs Besiktas
Time: 21:00 (UTC +8)
1X2 odd: 1.40 4.50 9.00
Asian Handicap Odd: 1.875 0 : 1 1/4 1.975
Over Under Odds: 1.975 (2.5/3) 1.825
Home Team Form: DDWWLW
Away Team Form:  DWWLDW
H2H Over Under Form: 
Head-Head:
Match Preview:  1X2 odds is increasing Arsenal win odds, but odds pattern “ 1 4 9 “ is good support level to Arsenal unbeaten this match. Handicap odds is Arsenal give 1 1/4 ball to Besiktas with middle low rate level, but compares with give 1 1/2 ball odds in initial odds. The bookie is lack of confident to Arsenal can win more than 1 ball. Arsenal is no win past 2 games, they are just normal form new season. 

Betfair Analysis:  91% trading transaction belong to Arsenal, the buy sell transaction is close. so the picture is no clear this match.
 
Prediction:  Besiktas (+1.25)

Sweden - Allsvenskan Tips: Falkenbergs vs Gothenburg

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Date: 24 August 2014
League: Sweden - Allsvenskan
Team: Falkenbergs FF vs IFK Gothenburg
Time: 21:00 (UTC +8)
1X2 odd: 3.40 3.40 2.00
Asian Handicap Odd: 1.925 1/2 : 0 1.975
Over Under Odds: 2.00 (2.5/3) 1.85
Home Team Form: DWLWLL
Away Team Form:  WWDDDL
H2H Over Under Form:  OU
Head-Head: Falkenbergs is never win Gothenburg in home games.
Match Preview: Some bookmakers are decreasing Draw odds rate level, so they are more trends to draw this game. Handicap odds is Gothenburg give 1/2 ball to Falkenbergs with high rate level, but compares with give 1/4 ball odds in initial odds. The bookie is some support level to Gothenburg this match. However Gothenburg is only 10% win rate in past 10 away games, but Falkenbergs is 70% unbeaten records in home games. Therefore, Falkenbergs should be higher chance unbeaten this match. 

Betfair Analysis: 
 
Prediction:  Falkenbergs (+0.5)

German Bundesliga Tip: Dortmund vs Leverkusen

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Date: 24 August 2014
League: German Bundesliga
Team: Dortmund vs Leverkusen
Time: 00:30 (UTC +8)
1X2 odd: 1.57 4.00 5.50
Asian Handicap Odd: 2.10 1 0 : 1 1.825
Over Under Odds: 1.85 (3) 2.05
Home Team Form: WWLWWW
Away Team Form:  WWWWD
H2H Over Under Form:  UOUUOU
Head-Head: Dortmund is better records recent in home games.
Match Preview: The bookmakers are adjusting three odds, but odds pattern “ 1 4 5 “ is good support level to Dortmund unbeaten this match. Handicap odds is Dortmund give 1 ball to Leverkusen with high rate level, so this is lack of confident to Dortmund can big win the game. Dortmund is good performance recent, but Leverkusen may need some focusing Champions league next weekday. Therefore, Dortmund should higher chance win this match.

Betfair Analysis:  85% trading belong to Dortmund, the “Sell” amount is higher than “Buy” amount on Dortmund transaction. This may not a good sign to Dortmund.
 
Prediction:  Dortmund (-1)

Europa League Tip: AEL Limassol vs Tottenham

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Date: 21 August 2014
League: UEFA Europa League
Team: AEL Limassol vs Tottenham
Time: 23:59 (UTC +8)
1X2 odd: 8.00 4.00 1.44
Asian Handicap Odd: 1.875 1 1/4 : 0 1.925
Over Under Odds: 1.875 (2.5) 1.925
Home Team Form: WWLWWL
Away Team Form:  WWWWWD
H2H Over Under Form: 
Head-Head:
Match Preview: 1X2 odds is pattern “ 8 4 1 “, and bookmakers are increasing AEL Limassol win odds. This is a good support level to Tottenham unbeaten this match. Handicap odds is Tottenham give 1 1/4 balls to Limassol with middle high rate level, compares with give 1 ball odds in early market. The bookie is also good confident to Tottenham win the match. Limassol is good form, they did beat Zenit St. Petersburg in champions league qualify. No doubt Tottenham is better form with 5 straight wins now, but they are showing difficult win more goals when versus good defensive team.

Betfair Analysis:  Tottenham abnormal trading in Betfair, so this game may draw.
 
Prediction:  AEL Limassol (+1.25)

UEFA Tips : Lille vs Porto

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Date: 21 August 2014
League: UEFA Champions League
Team: Lille vs Porto
Time: 02:45 (UTC +8)
1X2 odd: 2.75 3.00 2.75
Asian Handicap Odd: 1.95 0 : 0 1.90
Over Under Odds: 1.90 (2) 1.90
Home Team Form: WDDWLL
Away Team Form:  WWDDWW
H2H Over Under Form: 
Head-Head:
Match Preview: The bookmakers are opening low rate in Draw odds, then Lille & Porto win odds are close rate level. They are more trends to draw this game. Handicap odds is Lille same level to Porto, but Lille is higher rate odds level.  Compare with low rate level in initial odds, the bookie is lack of support level to Lille. However, Lille is 4 consecutive unbeaten new season, then they should able to unbeaten this match.

Betfair Analysis: majority trading belong to Draw and Porto, then Porto is hold more than 60% trade ratio. However “LAY” trade amount is more than “BUY” trade amount for Porto. This should be bad sign to Porto this match.  
 
Prediction:  Lille (0) [Asian Handicap] & 1x [Double Chance]

UEFA Tips : Napoli vs Ath. Bilbao

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Date: 20 August 2014
League: UEFA Champions League
Team: Napoli vs Ath. Bilbao
Time: 02:45 (UTC +8)
1X2 odd: 1.85 3.10 4.00
Asian Handicap Odd: 1.90 0 : 1/2 1.95
Over Under Odds: 2.00 (2.5) 1.80
Home Team Form: WDWLWW
Away Team Form:  LDDWWW
H2H Over Under Form:  UUOUO
Head-Head: Newcastle is never beat Man City past 8 home games.
Match Preview: The bookmakers are increasing Napoli win odds, decreasing Draw and Ath. Bilbao win odds. They are lack of support level to Napoli. Handicap odds is Napoli give 1/2 ball to Ath. Bilbao with middle rate level, compares with low rate level in initial odds. Bookie is also lack of confident to Napoli. However, Napoli is good performance with more than 70% win rate past 10 home games, so at least Napoli can unbeaten this match.

Betfair Analysis: more than 80% trading for Napoli in Betfair, then 8 out of 10 big trade amount are belong to “BUY” Napoli win. This indicate is good sign to Napoli.
 
Prediction:  Napoli (-0.5) [Asian Handicap] & 1x [Double Chance]

EPL Sure Win Tip: Newcastle vs Man City

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Date: 17 August 2014
League: English Premier League
Team: Newcastle vs Manchester City
Time: 23:00 (UTC +8)
1X2 odd: 5.00 3.75 1.67
Asian Handicap Odd: 2.075 3/4 : 0 1.85
Over Under Odds: 1.875 (2.5/3) 2.025
Home Team Form: WDWLWW
Away Team Form:  LDDWWW
H2H Over Under Form:  UUOUO
Head-Head: Newcastle is never beat Man City past 8 home games.
Match Preview: 1X2 odds is decreasing Newcastle win & draw odds, then increasing Man City win odds. They are lack of support level to Man City win the game. Handicap odds is Man City give 3/4 ball to Newcastle with middle low rate level, but compares with low rate level in initial odds. The bookie is slightly lack of confident to Man City win the match. Newcastle is good form with 5WIN 1D 1L pre season friendly matches, but Man City no win past 3 games. Therefore, the current odds is consider reasonable. 

Betfair Analysis: Overall, Man City is more than 80% trade this game, but the “LAY” or “SELL” is more than “BUY” volume. Especially got one volume with $57K LAY to Man City. Punters are lack of confident to Man City
 
Prediction:  Newcastle (+0.5, 1) or (+0.75) [Asian Handicap]

EPL Sure Win Tip: Arsenal vs Crystal Palace

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Date: 17 August 2014
League: English Premier League
Team: Arsenal vs Crystal Palace
Time: 00:30 (UTC +8)
1X2 odd: 1.25 6.00 13.00
Asian Handicap Odd: 2.10 0 : 1 3/4 1.825
Over Under Odds: 1.95 (2.5/3) 1.95
Home Team Form: WLWLWD
Away Team Form:  DLWWDW
H2H Over Under Form:  UO
Head-Head: Arsenal double kill Crystal Palace past 2 home games.
Match Preview: 1X2 odds is decreasing Arsenal win odds, and odds pattern “ 1 6 13 “. This is high confident to Arsenal win this match. Handicap odds is Arsenal give 1 3/4 ball to Crystal Palace with high rate level, but compares with give 1 1/2 ball in initial odds. The market is good confident to Arsenal beat Crystal Palace. especially, Arsenal did the good show to beat 3-0 Man City, and Crystal Palace’s manager resigned before opening game.

Betfair Analysis: Overall, more than 94% trade on Arsenal, there are many trade “BUY” with high amount yesterday. This is a good sign that punter is strong confident to Arsenal.
 
Prediction:  Arsenal (-1.5, 2) [Asian Handicap]

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