Europa League Tip: AEL Limassol vs Tottenham

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Date: 21 August 2014
League: UEFA Europa League
Team: AEL Limassol vs Tottenham
Time: 23:59 (UTC +8)
1X2 odd: 8.00 4.00 1.44
Asian Handicap Odd: 1.875 1 1/4 : 0 1.925
Over Under Odds: 1.875 (2.5) 1.925
Home Team Form: WWLWWL
Away Team Form:  WWWWWD
H2H Over Under Form: 
Head-Head:
Match Preview: 1X2 odds is pattern “ 8 4 1 “, and bookmakers are increasing AEL Limassol win odds. This is a good support level to Tottenham unbeaten this match. Handicap odds is Tottenham give 1 1/4 balls to Limassol with middle high rate level, compares with give 1 ball odds in early market. The bookie is also good confident to Tottenham win the match. Limassol is good form, they did beat Zenit St. Petersburg in champions league qualify. No doubt Tottenham is better form with 5 straight wins now, but they are showing difficult win more goals when versus good defensive team.

Betfair Analysis:  Tottenham abnormal trading in Betfair, so this game may draw.
 
Prediction:  AEL Limassol (+1.25)

UEFA Tips : Lille vs Porto

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Date: 21 August 2014
League: UEFA Champions League
Team: Lille vs Porto
Time: 02:45 (UTC +8)
1X2 odd: 2.75 3.00 2.75
Asian Handicap Odd: 1.95 0 : 0 1.90
Over Under Odds: 1.90 (2) 1.90
Home Team Form: WDDWLL
Away Team Form:  WWDDWW
H2H Over Under Form: 
Head-Head:
Match Preview: The bookmakers are opening low rate in Draw odds, then Lille & Porto win odds are close rate level. They are more trends to draw this game. Handicap odds is Lille same level to Porto, but Lille is higher rate odds level.  Compare with low rate level in initial odds, the bookie is lack of support level to Lille. However, Lille is 4 consecutive unbeaten new season, then they should able to unbeaten this match.

Betfair Analysis: majority trading belong to Draw and Porto, then Porto is hold more than 60% trade ratio. However “LAY” trade amount is more than “BUY” trade amount for Porto. This should be bad sign to Porto this match.  
 
Prediction:  Lille (0) [Asian Handicap] & 1x [Double Chance]

UEFA Tips : Napoli vs Ath. Bilbao

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Date: 20 August 2014
League: UEFA Champions League
Team: Napoli vs Ath. Bilbao
Time: 02:45 (UTC +8)
1X2 odd: 1.85 3.10 4.00
Asian Handicap Odd: 1.90 0 : 1/2 1.95
Over Under Odds: 2.00 (2.5) 1.80
Home Team Form: WDWLWW
Away Team Form:  LDDWWW
H2H Over Under Form:  UUOUO
Head-Head: Newcastle is never beat Man City past 8 home games.
Match Preview: The bookmakers are increasing Napoli win odds, decreasing Draw and Ath. Bilbao win odds. They are lack of support level to Napoli. Handicap odds is Napoli give 1/2 ball to Ath. Bilbao with middle rate level, compares with low rate level in initial odds. Bookie is also lack of confident to Napoli. However, Napoli is good performance with more than 70% win rate past 10 home games, so at least Napoli can unbeaten this match.

Betfair Analysis: more than 80% trading for Napoli in Betfair, then 8 out of 10 big trade amount are belong to “BUY” Napoli win. This indicate is good sign to Napoli.
 
Prediction:  Napoli (-0.5) [Asian Handicap] & 1x [Double Chance]

EPL Sure Win Tip: Newcastle vs Man City

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Date: 17 August 2014
League: English Premier League
Team: Newcastle vs Manchester City
Time: 23:00 (UTC +8)
1X2 odd: 5.00 3.75 1.67
Asian Handicap Odd: 2.075 3/4 : 0 1.85
Over Under Odds: 1.875 (2.5/3) 2.025
Home Team Form: WDWLWW
Away Team Form:  LDDWWW
H2H Over Under Form:  UUOUO
Head-Head: Newcastle is never beat Man City past 8 home games.
Match Preview: 1X2 odds is decreasing Newcastle win & draw odds, then increasing Man City win odds. They are lack of support level to Man City win the game. Handicap odds is Man City give 3/4 ball to Newcastle with middle low rate level, but compares with low rate level in initial odds. The bookie is slightly lack of confident to Man City win the match. Newcastle is good form with 5WIN 1D 1L pre season friendly matches, but Man City no win past 3 games. Therefore, the current odds is consider reasonable. 

Betfair Analysis: Overall, Man City is more than 80% trade this game, but the “LAY” or “SELL” is more than “BUY” volume. Especially got one volume with $57K LAY to Man City. Punters are lack of confident to Man City
 
Prediction:  Newcastle (+0.5, 1) or (+0.75) [Asian Handicap]

EPL Sure Win Tip: Arsenal vs Crystal Palace

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Date: 17 August 2014
League: English Premier League
Team: Arsenal vs Crystal Palace
Time: 00:30 (UTC +8)
1X2 odd: 1.25 6.00 13.00
Asian Handicap Odd: 2.10 0 : 1 3/4 1.825
Over Under Odds: 1.95 (2.5/3) 1.95
Home Team Form: WLWLWD
Away Team Form:  DLWWDW
H2H Over Under Form:  UO
Head-Head: Arsenal double kill Crystal Palace past 2 home games.
Match Preview: 1X2 odds is decreasing Arsenal win odds, and odds pattern “ 1 6 13 “. This is high confident to Arsenal win this match. Handicap odds is Arsenal give 1 3/4 ball to Crystal Palace with high rate level, but compares with give 1 1/2 ball in initial odds. The market is good confident to Arsenal beat Crystal Palace. especially, Arsenal did the good show to beat 3-0 Man City, and Crystal Palace’s manager resigned before opening game.

Betfair Analysis: Overall, more than 94% trade on Arsenal, there are many trade “BUY” with high amount yesterday. This is a good sign that punter is strong confident to Arsenal.
 
Prediction:  Arsenal (-1.5, 2) [Asian Handicap]

UEFA Tips : APOEL Nicosia vs Helsinki

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Date: 7 August 2014
League: UEFA Champions League
Team: APOEL Nicosia vs Helsinki
Time: 00:30 (UTC +8)
1X2 odd: 1.45 3.60 5.75
Asian Handicap Odd: 2.025 0 : 1 1.825
Over Under Odds: 1.875 (2.5) 1.925
Home Team Form: DWWWWD
Away Team Form:  WDDWWD
H2H Over Under Form:  O
Head-Head: They are held draw in 1st round
Match Preview: Ladbrokes is decreasing APOEL win odds, then increasing draw and Helsinki win odds. Then WH is open high draw odds, therefore, they are good support level to APOEL win the game. Handicap odds is APOEL give 1 ball with high rate level. so bookie is prevent APOEL big win this game. Currently, Helsinki is 21 consecutive unbeaten records, therefore, this odds is an advantage to them.

Betfair Analysis: Overall, more than 80% trade in home team, then got one 18K “BUY” home at 1.55 rate odds. Punters are good confident to home team.
 
Prediction:  APOEL Nicosia (-1) [Asian Handicap]

UEFA Champions League Tips: Lille vs Grasshopper

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Date: 6 August 2014
League: UEFA Champions League
Team: Lille vs Grasshoppers
Time: 02:30 (UTC +8)
1X2 odd: 1.36 4.00 8.50
Asian Handicap Odd: 1.85 0 : 1 1/4 2.00
Over Under Odds: 1.925 (2.5) 1.875
Home Team Form: WLLWLDW
Away Team Form:  DLLLLW
H2H Over Under Form:  U
Head-Head: Lille beat 2-0 Grasshoppers in 1st round 
Match Preview: 1X2 odds opened “ 1 4 8 “ odds pattern, bookmakers are good support level to Lille unbeaten this match. Handicap odds is Lille give 1 1/4 ball to Grasshoppers with middle low rate level, and compares with high rate level in initial odds. The bookie is good confident to Lille who should capable win more than 1 ball.
Betfair Analysis: Lille is 90% turnover ratio in Betfair transaction data, then there are $12K buy transaction in home team latest data. In addition, the majority is “BUY” trade, and Home odds rate from 1.44 to 1.42. Overall, this is good sign to Lille.
 
Prediction:  Lille WIN (1X2 Full Time)

Champions Cup 2014 Sure Win Tip

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