Football World Cup 2010 - Statistical and Fundamental Anaysis
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Danny G - Football Odds Analyst and Professional Bettor
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dun worry, I will go explain later How I make six-figure income for using that technique in soccer betting market.
World Cup 2010 is starts on coming Friday on 11th June 2010, I am very excited right now, and this is because I am figure out how "his/her" do this time. I am still remembering world cup 2006, this is because I am in deep loser on that year, and I am lost most of my bets that time. Nonetheless, my heart is still believe that I can make a six-figure income on soccer betting market, and the good thing is only working four hours a day from home.
I spent untold hours into researching how the behavior and interaction major bookmakers data and odd movement. How to spot the best profit signal?
Guess what? it is took me 3 years to research, test and fine tune how to spot the higher profit signal for major leagues and cups and my turning point is after September 2008.
I am found that the most important is using "Statistical and Fundamental" analysis when making soccer betting prediction. so what the heck is "Statistical and Fundamental" analysis? I will explain later...
then come back to current soccer betting market, While some twenty years ago, there was a list of great football teams, like Manchester United, Ajax, Barcelona and so on, that would always win the given game! Unless these teams played against each other it wasn’t that hard to predict the outcome of the game and bet on it.
Now days however the story seems quite different! You would see the first team in the English Premier League, play with the last in the table and loose or tie. Or you would see a team from League 2 play a team from League 1 and win by a difference of three goals. The recent example: China beat 1-0 France in Friendlies match....The unpredictable outcomes has made the job for the average football tipster a nightmare. Beating the bookies have become an impossible job or that’s what they say.
therefore, in order to stand a chance to beat bookie, then you should start using the soccer betting "weapon" available in the market. Statistical Analysis, what is statistical analysis? Basically you would want to do is look over
Team Form:
Always check the form and recent performances of the team.
Home and Away Records:
Check for home and away statistics. Some teams play better at home ground, some play better away.
Head-to-head:
Check the history between the two clubs because in soccer, more often than not, the history repeats in year after year.
Team Odd Form:
what do mean of that? This is refer to what is a recent win/tie/lose status of the team in bookmaker’s odd of 1x2 fixed odd and Asian handicap odd.
After the Statistical analysis, First they will give you the probability that each team has for a win. Second you will find out the current shape of the team and whether they have trouble at home or away
However Statistics do not guarantee you a correct soccer pick every time, but rather a positive prediction ratio over a long period of time.
so how? Now to make your tipster weapon even deadlier for the bookmakers throw in some Fundamental Analysis! What is fundamental analysis?
Team news:
Be sure always to check for injuries and suspensions. Which players are missing and how important are they. Check the records of the players who are replacing the injured players.
Motivation:
Check for the team motivation and how important it is for them to win the game. Do they really need points, are they interested in the domestic cup and so on.
Odd Movement:
after receiving the bet amount of punters, bookmaker will be adjusted accordingly, its main purpose is to adjust to a more balanced situation by injection to achieve the reduction of the risk of betting the company's own purpose. In another word, that odd movement is a tendency of bookmaker for that game. That data is a good value on fundamental analysis.
Once you have combined the Statistical and Fundamental analysis, you would notice a dramatic increase of your “winning” percentage.
So whether you are a casual gambler, a novice or experienced tipster, or a professional bettor, it always good to rely on the Statistical and Fundamental analysis!
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06/08/10 04:57:26 am,